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Hawaii astronomers keep tabs on asteroid Apophis

Astronomers will make repeated observations in order to significantly improve their understanding of the asteroid's orbit and therefore the details of the 2029 close approach and future impact possibilities.

By University of Hawaii at Manoa's Institute for Astronomy, Honolulu Published: March 10, 2011
Asteroid Apophis
Apophis (circled) in a composite of five exposures taken January 31 with the University of Hawaii 2.2-meter telescope on Mauna Kea.
Photo by D. Tholen, M. Micheli, G. Elliott (UH Institute for Astronomy)

On January 31, University of Hawaii at Manoa astronomers used the UH 2.2-meter telescope on Mauna Kea to take the first new images in more than 3 years of the potentially dangerous near-Earth asteroid Apophis as it emerged from behind the Sun.

The object became famous in late 2004, when it appeared to have a 1 in 37 chance of colliding with Earth in 2029, but additional data eventually ruled out that possibility.

However, on April 13, 2029, the asteroid, which has a 900-foot (270m) diameter, will come closer to Earth than the geosynchronous communications satellites that orbit Earth at an altitude of about 22,000 miles (36,000 kilometers). Apophis will then be briefly visible to the naked eye as a fast-moving starlike object.

This close encounter with Earth will significantly change Apophis’s orbit, which could lead to a collision with Earth later this century. For that reason, astronomers have been eager to obtain new data to further refine the details of the 2029 encounter.

Astronomer David Tholen, one of the co-discoverers of Apophis, and graduate students Marco Micheli and Garrett Elliott obtained the new images when the asteroid was less than 44° from the Sun and about a million times fainter than the faintest star that the average human eye can see without optical aid.

“The superb observing conditions that are possible on Mauna Kea made the observations relatively easy,” said Tholen.

Astronomers measure the position of an asteroid by comparing the known positions of stars that appear in the same image as the asteroid. As a result, any tiny error in the catalog of star positions, due for example to the very slow motions of the stars around the center of our Milky Way Galaxy, can affect the measurement of the position of the asteroid.

“We will need to repeat the observation on several different nights using different stars to average out this source of imprecision before we will be able to significantly improve the orbit of Apophis and therefore the details of the 2029 close approach and future impact possibilities,” noted Tholen.

Apophis’s elliptical orbit around the Sun will take it back into the Sun’s glare this summer, inhibiting the acquisition of additional positions. However, in 2012, Apophis will again become observable for approximately nine months. In 2013, the asteroid will pass close enough to Earth for ultraprecise radar signals to be bounced off its surface.

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4 stars
BASEM F KANDAH from MICHIGAN said:
If it hits I won't be on planet earth. My soul will be among the stars.
4 stars
JOSEPH T MCCAWLEY from MASSACHUSETTS said:
This is one that just won't go away. Good point about reference stars. Keep observing, there is a lot riding on the outcome.
5 stars
BILL CARLEY from CALIFORNIA said:
I would like to live to see Apophis in 2029, but it is not likely. On the other hand, my grandkids may have a collision to worry about.
1 star
DEAN JOHNSON from MINNESOTA said:
Once the 2012 Mayan Doomsday predictions come and go without any impact, at least the end of the world crowd will have the Apophis bandwagon to jump on.

I'd like to see the close pass of Apophis in 2029, but from what I've read, a person would have to travel to southern Spain or the western Sahara to see this with the naked eye.
4 stars
CHRIS R BAKER from CALIFORNIA said:
Since it is such a tiny object, relatively speaking, I wonder if we could slow it's velocity and put it into Earth orbit? Of course we would have to start now and develop engines and fuel supplies but would Ion drives be capable of enough delta v to accomplish this task? What could they learn and what could they exploit by having this object in a nearby orbit? What resources could it provide in the way of a stepping stone up? Would it be better to have it above geosynchronous orbit or below?
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