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Kepler discovers 461 new planet candidates

The findings show a steady increase in the number of smaller-sized planet candidates and the number of stars with more than one candidate.
By Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California, NASA Headquarters, Washington, D.C. Published: January 8, 2013
Planet-candidates
Since the last Kepler catalog was released in February 2012, the number of candidates discovered in the Kepler data has increased by 20 percent and now totals 2,740 potential planets orbiting 2,036 stars. Based on observations conducted May 2009 to March 2011, the most dramatic increases are seen in the number of Earth-sized and super-Earth-sized candidates discovered, which grew by 43 and 21 percent, respectively. Scientists analyzed more than 13,000 transit-like signals called "threshold crossing events" to eliminate known spacecraft instrumentation and astrophysical false positives, phenomena that masquerade as planetary candidates, to identify the potential new planets. // Credit: NASA
NASA's Kepler mission announced January 7 the discovery of 461 new planet candidates. Four of the potential new planets are less than twice the size of Earth and orbit in their sun's "habitable zone" — the region in the planetary system where liquid water might exist on the surface of a planet.

Based on observations conducted from May 2009 to March 2011, the findings show a steady increase in the number of smaller-sized planet candidates and the number of stars with more than one candidate.

"There is no better way to kick off the start of the Kepler extended mission than to discover more possible outposts on the frontier of potentially life-bearing worlds," said Christopher Burke of the SETI Institute in Mountain View, California.

Since the last Kepler catalog was released in February 2012, the number of candidates discovered in the Kepler data has increased by 20 percent and now totals 2,740 potential planets orbiting 2,036 stars. The most dramatic increases are seen in the number of Earth-sized and super-Earth-sized candidates discovered, which grew by 43 and 21 percent, respectively.

The new data increase the number of stars discovered to have more than one planet candidate from 365 to 467. Today, 43 percent of Kepler's planet candidates are observed to have neighbor planets.

"The large number of multicandidate systems being found by Kepler implies that a substantial fraction of exoplanets reside in flat multiplanet systems," said Jack Lissauer of NASA's Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, California. "This is consistent with what we know about our own planetary neighborhood."

The Kepler space telescope identifies planet candidates by repeatedly measuring the change in brightness of more than 150,000 stars in search of planets that pass in front of, or "transit," their host star. At least three transits are required to verify a signal as a potential planet.

Scientists analyzed more than 13,000 transit-like signals to eliminate known spacecraft instrumentation and astrophysical false positives — phenomena that masquerade as planetary candidates — to identify the potential new planets.

Candidates require additional follow-up observations and analyses to be confirmed as planets. At the beginning of 2012, 33 candidates in the Kepler data had been confirmed as planets. Today, there are 105.

"The analysis of increasingly longer time periods of Kepler data uncovers smaller planets in longer period orbits — orbital periods similar to Earth's," said Steve Howell, Kepler from Ames. "It is no longer a question of will we find a true Earth analog, but a question of when."

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5 stars
FRED KAULLEN from ARKANSAS said:
I agree with Richard. We need more time to stare at a given star field in order to find the longer period transits. I am sure there are many planets in a habitable zone that have yet to transit. Just think of all the systems whose geometry don't allow transits.
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STEPHEN ARMSTRONG from CALIFORNIA said:
The Kepler Mission only has 105 planets under its belt? How does that number correlate to reports in Astronomy Magazine to the effect of more than 800 planets currently confirmed? Has ground based telescopy exceeded that of the orbitals in this field?
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ROBERT L OLDERSHAW from MASSACHUSETTS said:
A very important property of exoplanet systems is the mass spectrum of the exoplanets and especially its major peak.

Discrete Scale Relativity predicted that the exoplanet mass function will have a primary peak at 8 x 10^-5 solar masses, or about the mass of Neptune.

There are not yet quite enough representative exoplanet mass data to fully test this prediction, but the Kepler mission has found that the thousands of candidate exoplanets it has identified so far have a radius function that is strongly peaked in the Neptune range.

Also, the inferred mass spectrum for exoplanets with periods less than 100 days is strongly peaked at about the mass of Neptune [M. Mayor and D. Queloz, New Astronomy Reviews, 56(1), 19-24, 2012; Figure 7].

Most conventional astrophysicists had anticipated a major peak either at the low-mass end of the spectrum or at the high-mass end (Jupiter-mass or greater). Astrophysicists were especially mystified by the low numbers of planets at the low-mass end of the spectrum.

Nature had again proved them wrong, as was the case with most of the other physical properties of exoplanet systems. To my knowledge Discrete Scale Relativity is the only theory that has correctly predicted the mass spectrum peak at about the mass of Neptune. This was out of a very large range of possible values, so it was not a lucky guess.

If you do not have a good understanding of Discrete Scale Relativity, then I highly recommend correcting that situation. It is a new theory, actually a whole cosmological paradigm, that makes definitive predictions, and passes definitive predictions (unlike particle physics). It proposes one unified physics from the smallest particles to the largest galactic structures.

Fourteen definitive predictions can be seen at: http://www.academia.edu/2042222/Predictions_of_Discrete_Scale_Relativity

Five of those definitive predictions are either already verified or are well on their way to being verified.

Robert L. Oldershaw
http://www3.amherst.edu/~rloldershaw
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J HAROLD ELLENS from MICHIGAN said:
It is continually astonishing and gratifying to realize the amazing amount of resources now at work in this field, advancing the quest for new and more definitive data, interpretation, and understanding of the infinite scope of potential knowledge that draws us beyond the boundaries of our currently known worlds.
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RICHARD MCCONNELL from UNITED KINGDOM said:
I have recently read the statement that there seems to be a shortage of longer period Earth-sized planets (like the Earth). This report goes some way to modifying that idea, I'm pleased to say. It's clear that methods used so far favour greatly the discovery of 'hot Jupiters' at the expense of smaller, long period planets. If seems even more important to keep Kepler going as long as possible to correct this imbalance, which is clearly an artifact of the methods so far used.
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RANDALL DEBOW from FLORIDA said:
troll no just kidding it would take so many factors in the right place that i just don't see this happening first off you need the right surface pressure to make hydrogen and oxygen H'20 or water a liquid form not enough pressure and it is just a gas i honestly do not believe a smaller planet can produce such pressure. second you need a magnetic and active core to control the weather system and keep cosmic rays at bay. we may find a planet just like earth but don't just assume because it looks like an earth and talks like an earth that it is one. our planet has a lot of special features that makes it what it is and we have evolved to live on it not the other way around
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ROBERT A MORSTADT from UTAH said:
Fascinating article! I like the caveat at the end that states that the Transit method requires longer observation times to find earth-like planets in larger orbits. There is lots of work and questions here for graduate students. For example one can look at the type of stars that have habitable planets and ask "How long have the habitable planets been in the habitable zone?"
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